Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.040652 0.044188 0.047750 0.051603 0.055646 0.059756 0.064245
2025-10-05 0.034162 0.039303 0.044662 0.050638 0.057094 0.063834 0.071381
2025-10-12 0.029959 0.036279 0.043063 0.050832 0.059427 0.068596 0.079063
2025-10-19 0.026932 0.034169 0.042146 0.051492 0.062043 0.073497 0.086782
2025-10-26 0.024470 0.032424 0.041408 0.052149 0.064492 0.078093 0.094078
2025-11-02 0.021032 0.029246 0.038774 0.050416 0.064040 0.079284 0.097437
2025-11-09 0.018760 0.027264 0.037368 0.049948 0.064904 0.081854 0.102262
2025-11-16 0.016891 0.025622 0.036235 0.049686 0.065907 0.084506 0.107115
2025-11-23 0.016081 0.025244 0.036584 0.051154 0.068918 0.089462 0.114617
2025-11-30 0.015210 0.024712 0.036684 0.052271 0.071474 0.093867 0.121471
2025-12-07 0.014243 0.023978 0.036469 0.052951 0.073468 0.097584 0.127509
2025-12-14 0.013120 0.022952 0.035815 0.053026 0.074679 0.100342 0.132397
2025-12-21 0.012507 0.022620 0.036072 0.054282 0.077397 0.104975 0.139611
2025-12-28 0.011171 0.021171 0.034782 0.053504 0.077550 0.106498 0.143111
2026-01-04 0.010340 0.020398 0.034356 0.053810 0.079038 0.109626 0.148536
2026-01-11 0.009727 0.019903 0.034277 0.054544 0.081049 0.113387 0.154723
2026-01-18 0.009153 0.019428 0.034194 0.055250 0.083011 0.117082 0.160834
2026-01-25 0.007865 0.017729 0.032305 0.053463 0.081713 0.116701 0.161948
2026-02-01 0.007072 0.016762 0.031412 0.052983 0.082071 0.118353 0.165530
2026-02-08 0.006403 0.015947 0.030698 0.052714 0.082677 0.120298 0.169460
2026-02-15 0.006245 0.016002 0.031273 0.054239 0.085654 0.125239 0.177111
2026-02-22 0.006006 0.015895 0.031593 0.055398 0.088145 0.129572 0.184019
2026-03-01 0.005675 0.015595 0.031600 0.056103 0.090027 0.133132 0.189973